Coronavirus: the Italian rules

People have not to leave the house and, however, must remain in own neighborhood, if not for valid reasons.
Two people maximum in the car, if not familiar.

No transportation blocking.
All means of public and private transport operate regularly.

Civil and religious ceremonies suspended.

People can leave the house to buy food and for close necessities.
Stores will always be restocked. There is no limitation on the transit of goods.

In case of symptoms of respiratory infection or fever above 37.5 ° C it is strongly recommended to stay at home, to seek medical attention and to limit contact with others as much as possible.
There is an absolute ban on leaving home for those who are quarantined or tested positive for the virus.

Those who leave home to go to work, for health reasons or situations of necessity, must complete a self-declaration to the police force.
You can go out with the dog, but only for the daily management of its physiological needs and for veterinary checks.

Business that can remain open:

1. supermarkets, mini markets and grocery stores (bakers, fishmongers, butchers, pizza slices etc.)
2. pharmacies, herbalists, perfumeries, soap shops, dry cleaners, pet shops,
   computer, photo and optical stores
3. petrol stations, tobacconists and newsagents
4. hardware store, and all the craftsmen (mechanics, carpenters, electricians, plumbers etc.)
5. offices and factories

Violation of the provisions is punished with an arrest of up to three months or a fine of up to 206 euros.

Demata

Italy with a new parliament: what about the risk of instability?

When the politicians promises are addressed to the voters waving rights / duties, ie principles that refer to philosophy, the disaster is announced. Concrete solutions can only be achieved by taking into account also economy and technics: the triumph of politics is assured only if voters and elected recall that to link them is the desire for well-being, based on common sense for the common good of any well administred community.

Yesterday the European Commission chaired by Valdis Dombrovskis announced that it is ready to receive a Economic Financial Paper (DEF) from Italy based on “a scenario with unchanged policies”, as happened in other countries that needed time to form a new executive after the elections.

Three weeks ago, our Parliamentary Budget Office in the last Focus on public finance announced that, “as in the past year, in the European surveillance area, the request for corrective measures that bring the balance back to a level consistent with compliance with the rules “.

In other words, the reality is in two chances: or the actual but residual Gentiloni’s government issues a “no policy change DEF” (since it can not do otherwise, being interim), but this DEF will have to be voted by a parliament where M5S and Lega they have a narrow relative majority, or a new government is formed quickly and has already a shared plan of structural reforms (at least three-year terms) for Italy, that is impossible.

Meanwhile, according to the numbers (Italian and international) and as Dombrovskis predicts, “there are still challenges to be faced”: in Italy we see that growth remains substantially below the EU average, low productivity (that is the cost of labor and services) is holding back growth, the high level of public debt persists and questions remain on the banks, in particular the high stock of impaired loans (Npl), which – apart from the financial exposure and the credit crunch – is tantamount to talking about the efficiency of the PA and the usual and notorius speculators.

It is, therefore, a very bad premise that – not even 24 hours after the European notice – Di Maio announce that the DEF “must be approved by an absolute majority of Parliament, so the Movement will be decisive. This will be an opportunity to find convergences on issues with other political forces. We are already working on a proposal that we will make known in the coming days ».

The M5S economic policy project seems to point to a profoundly modify of the national financial planning of the next three years with the support Lega and other right wing parties, BEFORE any government is installed, transferring items of expenditure from one chapter to another, without have time to accurately verify neither the application regulations nor the actual costs nor – at least – which expenses would be cut and with which consequences for all.

By the way, if no government were to be formed after this ‘shot’ and this  parliament will ‘self-dismiss’ to go to new elections, Italy would end up having to live for months and years with incomplete rules, untold rights and duties, costs and budgets out of control, a restless public opinion.

What would happen if – without a government that would follow with its own decrees and without even agreeing with the trade unions and companies – it is approved ‘on paper’ the minimum wage for those 2.5 million workers among employees, quasi-subordinate and self-employed people who are paid at levels below the contractual minimum and below the poverty thresholds?

And, without a government and without unequivocal accounts, how would the revaluation of the contributory pensions promised by the Lega as the Movimento Cinque Stelle under the heading ‘abolishing Fornero’: the start of a bankruptcy process for our public insurance sistem and its privatization?

We do not risk default, because we have an “adequate repayment capacity” as the rating agencies call it, but different Administrations (even Regions or Comuni ones) could end up in bankruptcy, while public payments would slow down with an increase in undeclared debt, if we shall go in search of the fortune to then stop at the edge of the abyss as happened in Greece.

Since we are talking about a hundred billion in total and a good share of Italians, apart the markets, our spread and Eurozone, Mattarella’s appeal to the leaders arrives punctually: “We still have and we will always have need a sense of responsibility to be able to place the general interest of the country and its citizens at the center”.

In fact, since February 26, our stock indices are going wrong: the FTSEMib has lost more than 3.5%, as the FTSE Italy Mid Cap (-3.09%) and the FTSE Italy STAR (-3 , 55%), while the friction of the military situation in the Mediterranean area is well known to all and it also announced the US-EU commercial war with Italy that exports goods to the United States for over 36 billion euro.

Italy is running the risk to replicate the Greek disaster of the first government of Alexis Tsipras, which lasted the time of a budget six months after starting off with populist ambitions.
By the way, Tsipras today rules again, but he carries out a policy of rigor, with a heavy economic plan to reduce public debt through significant cuts in spending, transfers of public assets and new taxes.

Demata

Why America should be wary of Matteo Renzi?

Matteo Renzi goes America to have dinner with Mr. President Barack Obama. An important event for Italian and American Democrats. But what United States have to earn?

At first, it should be remembered that Matteo Renzi became premier thanks to a reinforced majority in the House done by a unconstitutional law, and thanks to his appointment by the President of the Republic, a former communist who cheered for the Soviet invasion of Hungary in 1956 .
The mayor of a little  as famous town (Florence) appointed by the first offical of the republic to manage Italian politics, because without a legitimate parliament and without a law to vote for him.
He should have to be a receiver, not more.

About the reforms that Obama appreciates, Americans need to know that:

• debt and public deficits have increased despite the Austerithy
• the European Union and national Istitute of statistics (ISTAT) recently showed that the initial successes of Renzi derived from interventions introduced by Mario Monti and Enrico Letta
• the aids to companies for the crisis and the resumption as the ‘bailouts’ are in fact went to local banks and investors in Dem’s constituencies
• the government does not reimburse more than 30 billion dollars of which it is liable to the institute pensions, of which at least half confirmed by the Accounting Court
  the State administers the pension funds of the workers, so by six years the Italian Democrats are delaying retirement of 1952-1963 borns
• the same national institute (INPS) which manages the pension annuity for workers on behalf of the State, is also in charge of the investigation and control of the requirements of the disabled, as it must also provide for the welfare and care of the indigents (over six million)
• those who have worked 41 years and earn more than $ 2,000 each month must give up almost half of the annuity or wait up to the age of 67 y.o.
  millions of rare disease carriers renounce therapies because the bureaucracy of the mandatory public (called ‘universal’) system
• millions of chronically ill people have to struggle for years to get drugs and disability or subsidies
• physicians require more resources to emergency rooms and hospitalizations
• in Italy costs for state.towards families who choose a not-statal school are prohibited
• statal schools do not have enough teachers and in the last three years standards have not improved
• Rome was delivered to the brink of bankruptcy by the Democrats to the new Mayor
• the recent earthquake in Amatrice (over 200 deaths) proved tragically as laws and funding for anti-seismic buildings remain wastepaper
• Matteo Renzi’s constitutional reform envisages that the majority ‘disciplines /schools’ the opposition
• Matteo Renzi’s electoral reform envisages a ballotage with the winner that doubles the deputies and the opposition will have the sits behalved.

Furthermore,

• not few Democrats are involved in corruption and embezzlement scandals and arrests
• in Rome, the Democrats have collected less than 10% of the votes of members voting
• in Italy the Democrats collect less than 25% of the votes of members voting.

Remebered the former communist president who appointed Matteo Renzi as Prime Minister, do not forget that the Italian Democrats are the heirs of the Italian Communist Party and of the populist Christian Democracy Party in turn heirs of the core of former fascist popular consensus.

Is there anything better than Matteo Renzi in Italy? Maybe yes maybe not.
It just depends on whether or not you want to try to search and support him/her or not.

Demata

Mattarella for President: another Jesuit for Rome?

Sergio Mattarella is the new President of the Italians.
A gentleman, southerner, educated person, he has credit in the ‘gentry’ society. The critical elements are given in the age (73 years old) and the former ChrisitanDemocrat origin, as in his appaesament in PD, as well as being little known Italian and abroad.

Who will Mr. President Sergio Mattarella is easy to say: we can predict that he will inspire to Bartolomeo Sorge, a Jesuit, theologist and Italian political scientist, expert on social doctrine of the Church and member of the so-called Democratic Catholicism.
Padre Sorge,  during the 80s as director of Civiltà Cattolica, a newspaper published by Jesuits, became the protagonist of a movement of opinion to promote Catholics into a new cultural identity and a new political role, with the goal of a “re-founding” of the Christian Democrats , and, from 1986 to 1996, he directed the Institute of Political Training ‘Pedro Arrupe’ in Palermo, from which supported the so-called ‘Spring of Palermo‘ twenty years ago.

The father, Bernardo Mattarella, repeatedly parliamentary, constitutional expert and ‘anti-mafia man’, already in 1944  signaled to Don Luigi Sturzo, even in the United States, that the Sicilian separatism ‘is still a movement that must be followed and constantly vigilant, even little good for the element from which it is surrounded, the mafia, reported by the feudal lords to the honor of the separatist political limelight ” and – in an article in the June 3, 1944 on People and Freedom – published an article in which he accused the separatists, accusing them of have “on the conscience the sad responsibility to have gathered around it (the Mafia), trying to recharge the organization more dangerous and overbearing that has plagued for many years our lands.”

Therefore, the election of Sergio Mattarella could also prove a good choice, with the right man in the right place.
The problem is the butcher policy that led to his name.

In fact, going to summarize, this election:

1. induces the generation of octogenarians actually ‘on ride again’ to believe they can reset the country to 1994, when just the Mattarellum law entered Italy into the hell of the Second Republic, or perhaps to 1978 when the whole Italian politics turned for the worse
2. convinces the Demoratic Party to be in a politically hegemonic position , while this is true only in neoaristocratics clubs,  while, on the contrary, both the Democrats like the ‘people’ are of a completely different opinion
3. leaves a huge void on ‘right side of parliament’, with an Alfano ‘hostage’ of the Stability and a ‘Berlusconi’ humiliated more than  judgments did, but also to ‘left side’, since the day after tomorrow Matteo Renzi could claim to have reconstructed the ‘White Demo-Christian Whale ‘.

Meanwhile, we note that with Pope Bergoglio sj and Mattarella President goes to compose a piece of that democratic project that led to the papacy John XXIII as John F. Kennedy in the White House, but … 1961 is so far away.

originale postato su demata

Medical malpractice and healtcare waste in Italy

One of the basic requirements of a democracy is that to propose rules and make the decisions are the politicians elected by the people, the technicians are allowed to be minister, stop.
One of the requirements of good administration is to not put in the role of decision-makers who are in clear conflict of interest.

The Italian healthcare is plagued by hundreds of thousands per year medical malpractices reported by the insurance companies and, at least from Rome to South, services are often inefficient, ineffective if not random.

Soo, it will not seem incredible, if the Health Commission of the Italian Senate is composed almost entirely by ‘technical’ and ‘political’: on 28 members 13 are doctors, other 5 are biologists, pharmacologists or nurses and another 6 are employees of local healthcare /welfare authorities . Just two representatives of the parties and two economists.

Zero representatives of associations (patients and / or consumers). Zero representation for the research (science) and the civilized world (ethics). Citizens zero, just zero. Zero, even, the omnipotent pharmaceutical companies.

Meanwhile, the Italian Healthcare spends nearly 10% of our GDP,  rare patients are at least four millions, invalids not minus than 6 millions, one third of over 55 y.o. workers are in ‘not good state of health’ (according officil datas), the monopoly of State on insurance system (INPS) conditions the existence of those who are elderly, those who are sick and those without work. Pratically, every ‘real’ person.
Today, in the middle of the Italian regions residents will pay taxes and increased tickets for services well below those of the other half of the regions, where residents pay less for more.

But the Parliament leaves our Healt(care) in the same hands that have built this crazy and expensive game: Health and Hygiene are off limits for mere mortals, so to limit the cost (and the rights of the sick and disabled) … there is on purpose ‘Pantalon ‘Monti.

It’s Italy and this is just one example about the will of Italian Establishment to repair anything and to re-start the nation.

originale postato su demata

Lega Nord o Ku Klux Klan?

“Per Matteo Salvini il ministero dell’Integrazione guidato da Cecile Kyenge è “un ente inutile, costoso, una fabbrica dell’ipocrisia”. Il suo pensiero lo aveva già espresso anche in altre occasioni, ma ora la novità è condivide la sua posizione sul profilo Facebook per raccogliere il gradimento dei suoi amici di social network. Sul suo profilo il vice-segretario della Lega Nord lancia l’idea: secondo voi la Lega trova 500 mila cittadini pronti a firmare un referendum che abolisca questo ministero?” (fonte La Repubblica)

Cecile Kyenge smorza i toni e rilancia: “Sarebbe più utile utilizzare i soldi che si spenderebbero per un referendum per mettere, invece, in campo politiche e interventi per una integrazione che riguardi non solo i migranti ma tutti i cittadini.“

Eppure, caro ministro, non sarebbero forse soldi sprecati. Anzi.
Un referendum ‘contro l’integrazione’ avrebbe sia il vantaggio di smuovere le assopite coscienze di tanti italiani sia l’utilità di far uscire allo scoperto chi, dopo i meridionali, vorrebbe dis-integrare anche gli stranieri ormai italianizzati.

Scriveva il Financial Times, in occasione della scandalosa ‘battuta’ sugli oranghi dell’ex vice Presidente del Senato e padre del Porcellum, Roberto Calderoli, che “il resto dell’Europa non può dormire sugli allori. L’austerity è un terreno fertile per i populismi.

Il governo autoritario di Viktor Orbán in Ungheria è molto vicino ai fascisti antisemiti di Jobbik. In Grecia c’è l’estrema destra di Alba Dorata e in Finlandia ha i suoi “True Finns”. In Francia, il National Front è ormai attestato contro il centrodestra e il centrosinistra. Si sperava che London 2012 Olympics cementassero l’idea della Britannia come nazione aperta e, adesso, Mr Cameron ammassa voti con politiche che considerano gli immigrati scrocconi e succhia-welfare.

Quello che serve all’Italia è una rivoluzione. E potrebbe partire dalla defenestrazione – con pubblica umiliazione – di Mr. Calderoli.”

L’idea che si stanno facendo di noi in una vignetta dal FT

Per la Lega, dunque, i tempi sono maturi e deve decidere se diventare il Ku Klux Klan italiano od accettare l’opportunità politica di un centrodestra che ‘ancora’ la sostiene ed evolversi in un contesto politico multietnico.

RIcordiamo tutti che alla Festa di Pontida 2009, “il deputato ed europarlamentare della Lega Matteo Salvini si intrattiene con un gruppo di persone e dà il la a un ritornello: «Senti che puzza, scappano anche i cani. Sono arrivati i napoletani…». Il video che riprende la scena finisce su YouTube e la polemica politica si accende con esponenti del Pdl che invitano il leghista alle scuse e il Pd che ne chiede le dimissioni. … Che arrivano a fine giornata. Ma solo per una «singolare coincidenza», assicura Salvini. Scadeva proprio oggi, infatti, il termine per optare per il seggio all’Europarlamento.” (fonte La Stampa)

http://www.slideshare.net/butriga/alcuni-dati-sul-razzismo-in-italia-e-su-facebook

Dunque, la questione non è solo della brava Cecile Kyenge, ormai bersaglio continuo neanche si fosse sul set di Mississipi Burning, ma del popolo italiano tutto, se nel 2013 abbiamo ancora gente che ‘non affitta a meridionali’, arrivino da Roma o da a Capetown fa lo stesso.

E non resta che chiederci come sia possibile che Matteo Salvini sia candidabile (o eleggibile, vedano lor signori) in rappresentanza del popolo italiano, di cui ne fanno per larga e larghissima parte i meridionali e tutti coloro che abbiano ottenuto la nostra cittadinanza.

La Lega intende assicurarsi la palma di essere il neonato Ku Klux Klan d’Europa? E quanti ‘veri italiani’ accetterebbero un immigrato come genero o un ‘diverso/a’ come parente?

Che Maroni, Zaia e Cota facciano una scelta. La brava gente è stufa del razzismo bieco e delle battute da osteria.

originale postato su demata

Berlusconi sentenced, what future for Italy?

Strange but true, the SIlvio Berlusconi’s Supreme Court sentence will have a greater relapse to  Left rather than the Right side. In fact, no matter that  this sentence is the ‘Gunfight at the O.K. Corral‘ that Italians wait by 20 years in a collective perception of Politics.
A simplified world like a Spaghetti Western, an universe where the bad guys are always morally inferior: ugly, rude, corrupt, incompetent, ridiculous, infidels. And the good boys are distinguishable for their moral superiority: storyteller and soberly trendy, high laureate, perfect at home and at work.

So wee expect, in next mounthes, the theme of an ‘opaque Enrico Letta’ allied with the bad guys (PDL and UDC), repeated in meetings, marches, strikes and scandals until November, when the convention of the Democratic Party will have to settle ‘inner aspects’ about real estate and financial interests, lobbying, factionisms, immobility and adventurism, political expectations of the different electoral bases.

Matteo Renzi, despite having a good following of experts and technicians, may be ‘light’, if the Right wing will begin to attack him or CGIL and the extreme Left will emit a ‘fatwa’ in name of ‘starvation of the people ‘?
Who weighs more? The traditional electorate, octogenarian and tipycally resindent in the Apenninic Regions? The public agencies, the health lobby and the  ‘justice machine’, the controllers of State holdings? Or will it better to return to the mediation and Walter Veltroni’s ‘moderate’ majority?
And La Repubblica – the newspaper deus ex machina of the Left – will be not able to be decisive for the balance of the party?

If the Left, predictably, will thread into the dynamic pre-congress – and in the debate pro-M5S and pro-extreme Left wing – more is going to change in the center-Right, with the departure of Silvio Berlusconi, that this judgment determines.

In fact, the major companies of ‘Made in Italy ‘ are now globalized and respond to not only to national interests, the Italian capital is restructuring, as evidenced by the various shareholders’ agreements broken in last months at the level of Mediobanca, and the situation of Unicredit Bank is very complex, because in Rome more than 30% of the Italian mortgages are filed with compromised Real Estate market.
At the same time, the pontificate of Pope Francis appears firmly addressed to safeguard the interests of Vatican and ‘not only’ those of ‘financially active’ Bishops. A Pope coming from Argentina with a clear and populist vision of the relationships between power and citizens.

It is not unlikely that, having the time, the PDL evolve / dissolve in key liberal-populist and this is the main reason why the tsunami ‘judgment Berlusconi’ could hit in a more eye-catching and dramatic Democratic Party, making hasty and fueling the shaking inside frantic thrusts.

originale postato su demata

Why Italians like Movimento Cinque Stelle?

In Italy, there is a man, Mario Abbruzzese, former president of the Regional Council of Lazio, a public administrator who has spent 18,660 euro to buy 67 Montblanc pens for 278 euro each, 21,408 euro for 100 Christmas baskets, € 76,791 spent on “plannig copybooks”, 10,560 euro in greeting cards, for a total of expenses for over € 1,987,092.

Needless to say, Mario Abbruzzese was re-elected, always in the lists of the PDL in the territory of Cassino, where goods for many millions euro were seized to the Casalesi Camorra Clan, which were implemented  the first bridgeheads in the South Lazio, since 30 years ago.

Talking on PdL and his politicians in that territory, a request of arrest is coming for Nicola Cosentino, accused of collusion with the mafia over alleged links with the Casalesi Camorra clan.
A man wanted by Silvio Berlusconi in his cabinet as Secretary of Finance, and more or less simultaneously, considered by the District Anti-Mafia Directorate (like US DEA) a “politician able to promote the clan in business administration in Campania, in particular the waste in each period emergency. “

Serious facts, those of the Berlusconi’s Party, if we consider, however, the Democratic Party is clucking evil, to read of the many scandals and processes that involve its politicians and administrators, if we notice, above all, that this party is the chief architect of the various laws that have given way the plunder of Italian finances by the parties, as were his vows that allowed Berlusconi government to ‘sink the shot’ in the last decade.

A breach, created in the 1993, when Italian citizens voted against the financing of parties, with the introduction of “reimbursements for election expenses” (besides often not carried out).

In 2002, the Berlusconi government rise the sum to 5 euro and, in 2006, extended for five years the electoral reimbursements. A law that, with the with the premature drop of the Prodi’s government, allowed some extinct Italian parties to receive public money until to 2011 and all the parties in Parliament to cash ‘double’ reimbursements for three years for an amount of half billion of euros.

A Democratic Party that a study published by the newspaper Libero  – on data of Chambers of Commerce and Land Agency that valued  approximately for € 1.2 billion the properties of parties – estimates “about 80% of real estate are still in head of the political forces in which plant roots the Democratic Party. ”
Almost more than 3,000 buildings and more than 500 plots with cadastral income, agricultural and dominical for about € 2.8 million, with a tax year value of about 500 million euro.

“Much is still headed to the Democratic Party of the Left and its territorial structures (base units, regional federations, municipal and territorial of various types), as well as real estate which are still owned by him. Only in the PCI-PDS- Ds-Margherita-PPI-Pd are 831 different tax codes that are holders of buildings.
Among these there are certainly sections of the old Communist Party, which is still the holder of no less than 178 land and 15 buildings land. But seeing numbers of rooms and features of each property, it is unlikely that property as 12 or 14 rooms houses or offices even larger sizes to correspond to the classic sketch of the old territorial sections.
The Democrats control a large part of the housing through new foundations which have been patiently treasurer by Ugo Sposetti. Particularly rich those in Umbria or Livorno. “

What can be the maintenance and operation costs of this enormous wealth is difficult to quantify – probably hundreds of millions of euros every years – as it is also very difficult to imagine the cost of the equipment we use them.
Even more difficult to understand how it was possible for a party that accumulate a so enormous wealth and how it can even manage not falling in fraud of some kind, or worse, in a conflict of interest.

In two words, it is very difficult to clear if we are facing a business or a party or a strange mutant become out from the Cold War.

Now, everyone can understand why the Movement Five Star refuses to support ‘the parties’ and has asked to the Democrats’ Leader, Pierluigi Bersani, a law on financing of political parties, while from the Mario Monti’s party has already arrived an – actually shy – demand for a law on trade unions.

As it is really easy to understand why Italians are against their parties and why there is mistrust of Europe and Germany. It is not an anti-European sentiment. Just concern for those – Merkel, Obama, Hollande? – who would persuade us to remain in the hands of those who seek legitimacy abroad, denigrating their country – that is ours too – to justify their inability or misconduct.
Their, not ours. Not of all Italians.

originale postato su demata

M5S a convegno per governare?

Non era difficile non dare per scontato che centonove deputati e cinquantaquattro senatori avessero bisogno di un «conclave» del neonato Movimento Cinque Stelle, per decidere insieme le strategie ed i margini di accordo che vogliono attuare in Parlamento e, innanzitutto, la governabilità.

Altrettanto facile immaginare che la Premiata Ditta Grillo & Casaleggio si faccia scippare ‘al mercato delle vacche’ quelle due dozzine circa di senatori che mancano al Partito Democratico per governare.

Nel ‘conclave’ dei parlamentari del M5S, verranno chiarite anche alcune questioni essenziali, sulle quali non loro, ma gli italiani tutti stanno facendo una gran confusione.

La richiesta da parte di Grillo di un governo di minoranza senza una fiducia preventiva che contratta, di volta in volta, l’appoggio su singole leggi porrebbe inevitabilmente l’Italia in balia del Parlamento e delle Lobbies.

Anche se Bersani intima a Grillo: «Decida cosa fare o tutti a casa», il caso del capo dello Stato in scadenza – “semestre bianco” – impedisce che egli sciolga subito le Camere.

Come probabilmente sperano i sostenitori di Mario Monti, una prosecuzione “a tempo” del mandato presidenziale al Quirinale non rientra nei ‘parametri’ previsti dalla Costituzione.

Malgrado quanto sostenuto da una parte della Sinistra, nonostante il Procellum, spetta solo al Presidente della Repubblica, e solo a lui, scegliere in piena autonomia, al termine delle consultazioni, a chi affidare l’incarico per formare il governo.

Dunque, esistono solo due strade.

La prima via – quella che comunemente è chiamato ‘governo tecnico per le riforme’ – è quella che di un governo a tempo con un programma di riforme, sul genere di quelli ‘tecnici’ guidati da Dini e Amato per traghettare il Paese dalla Prima alla Seconda Repubblica, che si concluda con delle elezioni con un nuovo sistema elettorale e con le autonomie locali riformate.
Nella sostanza è quello che sta chiedendo – con poca chiarezza – Beppe Grillo e che, ragionevolmente, chiederà il Movimento Cinque Stelle di Casaleggio.

Il secondo percorso – quello che comunemente è chiamato ‘governissimo’ -è quello che di un governo a tempo con un programma di riforme, sul genere di quello guidato da un ‘tecnico’ come Mario Monti per salvare il sistema finanziario italiano, che si concluda con delle elezioni con un nuovo sistema elettorale e con il Welfare riformato.
Nella sostanza è quello che serve alla Seconda Repubblica per guadagnare qualche anno di vita ed avere il tempo, secondo loro, di lavorarsi ai fianchi il movimento dei Grillini.

In tutto ciò, c’è da insediare il Parlamento ed eleggere, anche con una certa rapidità, sia i Presidenti della Camera e del Senato, si individuare i candidati alla presidenza della Repubblica e darsene uno.

Dunque, che Bersani la smetta di portar fretta, che non ce ne è se non per lui, che, a breve, dovrà rendere ragione ai suoi sodali di partito in ordine all’ennesima cantonata presa e conseguente bastosta incassata, illudendosi di governare con il 33% ed un voto.

Tanto, finchè non si eleggerà ed insedierà il nuovo Presidente della Repubblica, c’è il Governo Monti per ‘l’ordinaria amministrazione’ e per la buona pace di banche, governi esteri e mercati vari.

Il Movimento Cinque Stelle è a convegno ed è la loro prima prova del nove. Avranno idee, condivisione e lungimiranza per resistere al canto delle sirene democratiche-democristiane? Riusciranno a stendere un decalogo delle priorità e delle negoziabilità, con cui sostenere un governo di programma per le riforme?
Probabilmente si, ma lo sapremo tra due giorni soltanto.

originale postato su demata

Governabilità, ma come?

I dati elettorali e lo stallo parlamentare sono sotto gli occhi di tutti, il mondo della politica è sgomento, i cittadini un po’ meno, M5S ha annunciato che voteranno le leggi che ritengono giuste, all’estero pazientano. Allo stesso tempo, la Lega è egemone nelle tre regioni che contano (Piemonte, Lomnbardia E Veneto), mentre la Puglia e la Campania hanno abbandonato Vendola e De Magistris.

Già questo dato dovrebbe darci una chiave di lettura della exit strategy in cui dovrebbero dedicarsi il Quirinale ed il sistema partitico, salvo apporti ed interferenze da parte del sistema giudiziario e dai media, cui siamo notoriamente avezzi.

Il PD con SEL ha alla Camera più o meno gli stessi voti del PdL-Lega e del M5S, grazie ad una legge iniqua a dire di tutti, il Porcellum, ha, però, la maggioranza assoluta. Rivendicare una primazia o, addirittura, una sorta di diritto a governare è un atto classificabile – agli occhi di un elettore che badi alle regole ed non solo alla fazione – come un enorme atto di arroganza.
Per giunta, proponendo al M5S un abbraccio suicida per non pochi motivi, visto che tra ‘ruggine storica’ e ‘pastoie governative’ Beppe Grillo rischierebbe di perdere un’enorme massa di consensi nel giro di pochi mesi da un elettorato che aborrisce il consociativismo, i capibastone, le scuderie eccetera eccetera.

Inoltre, c’è la disponibilità già dichiarata dei Grillini ad operare nel pieno, vero mandato cui ogni parlamentare dovrebbe adempiere: votare le leggi secondo coscienza.
Questo significa che esiste ampio spazio per un governo di minoranza.

Certo, in politica mai dire mai, ma la via del governo di minoranza è la prima balzata gli occhi, dato che l’abbraccio di Bersani con il Giaguaro Berlusconi è improponibile agli elettori di sinistra, come è impensabile un Mario Monti premier con un Scelta per l’Italia che è ‘quasi’ l’UDC ma ‘non è l’UDC’ e con la carenza di carisma e di opportunità politica dimostrate in quest’anno.
E’ però improponibile anche che il PdL sostenga un governo di minoranza guidato da Bersani: una comprensibilissima questione di principio.

Ed, allora, non resta che Casini, che a guardarlo bene, ha tutte le caratteristiche per assolvere alle funzioni di un Premier di minoranza o di un governo a termine, che abbia i poteri di programma e non solo tecnici, onde intervenire su alcuni aspetti costituzionali.
Le caratteristiche così ‘rare’ sono quelle di non essere sgradito all’elettorato di sinistra, non incassa troppa ostilità dal PdL, fa parte della compagine montiana, così rassicurante per i ‘mercati’, ha interesse a riformare la legge elettorale, conosce a menadito i regolamenti parlamentari, conosce molto bene vezzi e difetti di tanti suoi colleghi.
I limiti sono quelli noti: non aver mai dimostrato un carisma ‘non solo fotogenico’, non avere un gruppo di ‘cavalli di razza’ nel partito, essere indirettamente legato ad una certa ‘romanità’ di cui il cinema ha raccontato fatti e misfatti ed in tanti si è imparato a diffidare, essere additato dai Montiani come la causa del loro flop.

Ad ogni modo, Casini o non Casini ed acclarato che M5S non farà bieco ostruzionismo parlamentare, di alternative ad un governo di minoranza non sembra che se ne vedano all’orizzonte, salvo quella del Partito Democratico che forma un governo con SEL e Cinque Stelle. Ma, in tal caso, di quanto e per quanto saremo sballottolati, piallati, compressi, svalutati, massacrati, disfatti dai mercati e dalle diplomazie di mezzo mondo?
E chi si prende una responsabilità storica del genere? Pierluigi Bersani a cui, forse, il partito dovrebbe chiedere le dimissioni?

originale postato su demata