Italy with a new parliament: what about the risk of instability?

When the politicians promises are addressed to the voters waving rights / duties, ie principles that refer to philosophy, the disaster is announced. Concrete solutions can only be achieved by taking into account also economy and technics: the triumph of politics is assured only if voters and elected recall that to link them is the desire for well-being, based on common sense for the common good of any well administred community.

Yesterday the European Commission chaired by Valdis Dombrovskis announced that it is ready to receive a Economic Financial Paper (DEF) from Italy based on “a scenario with unchanged policies”, as happened in other countries that needed time to form a new executive after the elections.

Three weeks ago, our Parliamentary Budget Office in the last Focus on public finance announced that, “as in the past year, in the European surveillance area, the request for corrective measures that bring the balance back to a level consistent with compliance with the rules “.

In other words, the reality is in two chances: or the actual but residual Gentiloni’s government issues a “no policy change DEF” (since it can not do otherwise, being interim), but this DEF will have to be voted by a parliament where M5S and Lega they have a narrow relative majority, or a new government is formed quickly and has already a shared plan of structural reforms (at least three-year terms) for Italy, that is impossible.

Meanwhile, according to the numbers (Italian and international) and as Dombrovskis predicts, “there are still challenges to be faced”: in Italy we see that growth remains substantially below the EU average, low productivity (that is the cost of labor and services) is holding back growth, the high level of public debt persists and questions remain on the banks, in particular the high stock of impaired loans (Npl), which – apart from the financial exposure and the credit crunch – is tantamount to talking about the efficiency of the PA and the usual and notorius speculators.

It is, therefore, a very bad premise that – not even 24 hours after the European notice – Di Maio announce that the DEF “must be approved by an absolute majority of Parliament, so the Movement will be decisive. This will be an opportunity to find convergences on issues with other political forces. We are already working on a proposal that we will make known in the coming days ».

The M5S economic policy project seems to point to a profoundly modify of the national financial planning of the next three years with the support Lega and other right wing parties, BEFORE any government is installed, transferring items of expenditure from one chapter to another, without have time to accurately verify neither the application regulations nor the actual costs nor – at least – which expenses would be cut and with which consequences for all.

By the way, if no government were to be formed after this ‘shot’ and this  parliament will ‘self-dismiss’ to go to new elections, Italy would end up having to live for months and years with incomplete rules, untold rights and duties, costs and budgets out of control, a restless public opinion.

What would happen if – without a government that would follow with its own decrees and without even agreeing with the trade unions and companies – it is approved ‘on paper’ the minimum wage for those 2.5 million workers among employees, quasi-subordinate and self-employed people who are paid at levels below the contractual minimum and below the poverty thresholds?

And, without a government and without unequivocal accounts, how would the revaluation of the contributory pensions promised by the Lega as the Movimento Cinque Stelle under the heading ‘abolishing Fornero’: the start of a bankruptcy process for our public insurance sistem and its privatization?

We do not risk default, because we have an “adequate repayment capacity” as the rating agencies call it, but different Administrations (even Regions or Comuni ones) could end up in bankruptcy, while public payments would slow down with an increase in undeclared debt, if we shall go in search of the fortune to then stop at the edge of the abyss as happened in Greece.

Since we are talking about a hundred billion in total and a good share of Italians, apart the markets, our spread and Eurozone, Mattarella’s appeal to the leaders arrives punctually: “We still have and we will always have need a sense of responsibility to be able to place the general interest of the country and its citizens at the center”.

In fact, since February 26, our stock indices are going wrong: the FTSEMib has lost more than 3.5%, as the FTSE Italy Mid Cap (-3.09%) and the FTSE Italy STAR (-3 , 55%), while the friction of the military situation in the Mediterranean area is well known to all and it also announced the US-EU commercial war with Italy that exports goods to the United States for over 36 billion euro.

Italy is running the risk to replicate the Greek disaster of the first government of Alexis Tsipras, which lasted the time of a budget six months after starting off with populist ambitions.
By the way, Tsipras today rules again, but he carries out a policy of rigor, with a heavy economic plan to reduce public debt through significant cuts in spending, transfers of public assets and new taxes.

Demata

How much the stubbornness of Monti’s government to fund the F-35 factories damaged Italy and Eurozone?

In 2001, F-35 JSF (Joint Strike Fighter) Program started by a ‘successful’ Lockheed X-35 project for a initial expected cost of 40 million dollars and a production of  3,000 jets for USAF / U.S. Navy / USMC and another 2,000 for some partners (source http://www.aereimilitari.org).

Italy was involved as a “second level partner”, setting up a line of construction and assembly, which would release much of the F-35 destined for Europe and other countries, such as Turkey and Israel, including only twenty F35 for Italian Navy.

A rich business for our industries and – on 28th May 2007, at the Defense Ministry in Rome – the Secretary of Defense, Lorenzo Forcieri, met the President of the Province of Novara, Sergio Vedovato, to determine the ‘settlement of the assembly line of the F35 Joint Strike Fighter aircraft at the little military airport of Cameri (Piemonte Region).
A small-town dream cherished for decades, assuming anyone wish spent money and time in Piemonte to turn a short track – at time closed by fog for several months a year – in the largest airport in Europe thanks to the construction of the largest NATO base for military aircrafts.

And that Prodi government was in hands of a lot of members of parliament and secretaries of State by Piemonte as Cesare Damiano, Livia Turco, Fausto Bertinotti and Paolo Ferrero – all coming by the Confederazione Generale del Lavoro (the former communist Trade Union) – and there was really no wonder that the project went to the Novara, where some millions euros of public money was ‘invested’ to create from nothing an industrial district while – elsewhere – many industrial districts were being dismantled on relevant costs: the same Romano Prodi dismatled the public industry in South Italy, as president of I.R.I., ten years before, and he came in Primaries claiming this success.

A lot of money and work that has to benefit just the Novara province and some nearby, where were in crisis the car and textile industries, the former communist trade unions and an expensive welfare system. Not surprisingly, Luisa Maria Crespi, the mayor of Cameri, said “thanks to the initiative of the Province, from today we will be able to respond to our citizens’,  as confirmed by the mayor Bellinzago, Mariella Bovio,’there are important employment guarantees for an area like ours who lives a severe crisis’.

The first doubts on plane and investments became apparent in 2009, when the average per aircraft costs were sketched  to 62 and then over the 100 million dollars.
As reported by Stato-Oggi, “Defence Secretary Ignazio La Russa, at the Farnborough Air Show, referring to the program , added: “We are very cautious, we are checking.”

Utmost caution, if at the beginning of 2011, the Washington Post announced the need to recapitalize by 20% ($ 10 billion) and experimental design, half of which became necessary to lighten the plane, because flying at full load affects the key performance of the aircraft.
Or when (Jan 08, 2011 – remember this) Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates announced a series of efficiencies decisions designed to save the Department of Defense more than $150 billion over the next five years primarily by reducing overhead costs, improving business practices and culling excess or troubled programs, like the short take-off and vertical landing (STOVL) variant of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter placed on the equivalent of a two-year probation because of significant testing problems.

So the contracts for F35 were gradually withdrawn by partners and Italy – where they were tobe built – missed a big deal: 85 F-35A for the Dutch Koninklijke Luchtmacht,some dozens for Danish Flyvevåbnet and Norwegian Kongelige Norske Luftforsvaret, then the good-bye to 116 F-35A for the Türk Hava Kuvvetleri and 150 F35B for the British Royal Air Force which preferred modify ‘her’ aircraft carriers and buy catapult-launched F-35C .
Meanwhile, the Berlusconi government did not give the consent for sixty F35 – provided over the first tranche of 22 F-35B for the Italian Naval Aviation, already ordered – and cut off an order of  2 billions euros for 25 Eurofighter (Aeritalia / Finmeccanica).

Soon after, for other trends, the spread of Italian bonds dramatically rose, the blame was charged to the government and soon after Mario Monti placed on Italian national budget dozens and dozens billions euros of expenses for 2012 and next years to to commission 131 jets to Novara F-35 industries (Dec 06, 2011 – remember this), while Italian debt exploded, a large part of welfare was cut or delayed and taxes went nearby 50%.

Not minus of half million of senior workers were dismissed after 30 or more years of regular work without any annuity or social help, disability rights went to enjoyment only after the insurance had recognized them and not when they were initiated, a lot of ​​graduates at work in the call centers for $ 800 a month, a Nation in recession losing 10-15% of GDP, millions of young  families unemployed, companies in the knee, failed or fled abroad. Suicides, people self burnings for protest, millions in line for food and help by charity centers.
These were the numbers for 2012 in Italy.

Just two months after (Feb 02, 2012) the Defense Secretary – Admiral Di Paola – wisely announced the cut of the F-35, reduced from 131 to 90 jets, and April 6  the government led by Mario Monti decreed the reform of Defence confirmed that the cutting of the F35 Joint Strike Fighter, with a reduction in expenses of 5 billions euro for 2014.
Of course, this economy was not destined to unlock pensions or protect the disabled and restart the occupation, was not destined to poor families, were not reduced taxes and businesses continued to close, military expenses were reduced for 33 mld.
Recession went nastier, but Italy began proudly a program to become the second-third largest industrial power for stealth attack fighter – as it relates to the NATO  – and one of the first five countries in the world for the ability to “first air strike “… while Italian  Constitution ‘rejects war as an instrument of aggression’.

So, Mario Monti continued in 2012 to spend the few public money available for the production of first strike stealth fighters, in USA the test on the jets gone really bad.
Lately, in February 2013, the Pentagon’s chief testing office based at the U.S. military’s Eglin Air Force Base in Florida reported that radars that don’t work, blurry vision from the aircraft’s sophisticated helmet, inability to fly through clouds during the tests done from September to November 2012 .
The National Post cleared that “the testing was extremely basic and “did not cover . . . in essence, everything that makes the F-35A a modern, advanced fighter,” reads the report, obtained by the Washington-based watchdog group Project on Government Oversight. Aircraft operating limitations prohibit flying the aircraft at night or in instrument meteorological conditions. The aircraft is also currently prohibited from flying close formation, aerobatics and stalls. The report also notes that the F-35A, which is the version the Harper government had intended to buy, “does not yet have the capability to train in . . . any actual combat capability, because it is still early in system development.”

Does anyone believe that the Italian government and Italian developers were not fully informed – in real time – during 2012 of a long series of negative tests?

If in October 1, 2013 Defense One announced a “recent report from the Pentagon’s internal watchdog reveals that the next gen fighter jet is plagued with hundreds of issues. The Defense Department’s Inspector General conducted a series of quality assurance assessments that found the Joint Program Office and Defense Contract Management Agency performed “inadequate oversight,” failing to adhere to widely adopted quality management protocols while losing control of contractors that have already sunk an estimated $400 billion taxpayer dollars into what is the most expensive weapons system ever developed by the U.S. government”, why Mario Monti’s government took no account of this in drawing up the law of the National Account law and Spending Review for the 2013 and 2014, easing taxes and allocating resources for senior workers and employment for young people or for help to families?

As known, the last days news announced a jet that caught fire during takeoff and lost pieces from the base of Eglin, Fla. and the Pentagon has grounded all F-35, definitively confirming the many doubts and cautions on the program, and we can imagine the panic in Novara and in Piemonte.

And – speaking of Italy, for the F-35 – there is also another thing to know.

In Spring 2012, Italy planned to buy up to 90 F-35, about 60 of the A model -take off from the ground – and 30 of the B model – vertical takeoff – for the aircraft carrier Cavour because, since the WWII ArmisticeTreaty, is not allowed to haveaircraft carriers with catapult systems. In fact, the C model – catapult takeoff – will made just in USA.

The question is ‘WHY’ was the Mario Monti’s government  spending mountains as blocking valuable resources for 30 vertical take-off F-35B, while this variant, until last year, was not there, prototypes were not working, as Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates placed in probation for two years the troubled project of a short take-off and vertical landing (STOVL) variant of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter because of significant testing problems, Great Britain changes ‘her’ takeoff systems on carriers.
The first successful take off test was conducted only on May 10, 2013 to NAS Patuxent River, Maryland.

So, the Mario Monti’s government has spent billions of Euro, catched with  unsustainable taxes, while cutting the present and the future of so many people for a weak jet (F35A) that currently does not exist and another (F35B) that practically there never was. A case that is more reminiscent of the financial accounts of the Soviet Union than any lobbystic or helpful welfare approach to a financial crisis.

I do not believe such a misdeed or a ‘cospiration’, as it means in Italy.  Just personal stubbornness and another one collateral damage by a “democratic former communist” trade union and his heavy lobby in leftist parties, not forgetting that colonization-like Italian unification acted by a financially burned Piemonte and Vatican, between 1860-1918.

I just hope that – after a so big flop – just anyone will start to not consider Mario Monti a reliable reference for Italian state of art, leading a long memory of Italian F35 story and of the many mistakes made in the management of a not only financial crisis of the former sixt GDP of the world actually impoverished to ten-twelwest position by stalling and recessive government action in 2012.

Mistakes like to fund for billions an inexistent jet in Piemonte – stronghold of former communist trade unions – while those billions were essential to not block the turn over and cut the welfare state for an entire nation during a hard crisis and leave to industry/commerce those really precious resources needed to avoid the recession that still plagues Italy, brought down the GDP and – consequently – afflicts the Eurozone and the European inner relationships.

And, please, … wish anyone note the failure of the Klein-Monti model when applied in a real system?

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Why Italians like Movimento Cinque Stelle?

In Italy, there is a man, Mario Abbruzzese, former president of the Regional Council of Lazio, a public administrator who has spent 18,660 euro to buy 67 Montblanc pens for 278 euro each, 21,408 euro for 100 Christmas baskets, € 76,791 spent on “plannig copybooks”, 10,560 euro in greeting cards, for a total of expenses for over € 1,987,092.

Needless to say, Mario Abbruzzese was re-elected, always in the lists of the PDL in the territory of Cassino, where goods for many millions euro were seized to the Casalesi Camorra Clan, which were implemented  the first bridgeheads in the South Lazio, since 30 years ago.

Talking on PdL and his politicians in that territory, a request of arrest is coming for Nicola Cosentino, accused of collusion with the mafia over alleged links with the Casalesi Camorra clan.
A man wanted by Silvio Berlusconi in his cabinet as Secretary of Finance, and more or less simultaneously, considered by the District Anti-Mafia Directorate (like US DEA) a “politician able to promote the clan in business administration in Campania, in particular the waste in each period emergency. “

Serious facts, those of the Berlusconi’s Party, if we consider, however, the Democratic Party is clucking evil, to read of the many scandals and processes that involve its politicians and administrators, if we notice, above all, that this party is the chief architect of the various laws that have given way the plunder of Italian finances by the parties, as were his vows that allowed Berlusconi government to ‘sink the shot’ in the last decade.

A breach, created in the 1993, when Italian citizens voted against the financing of parties, with the introduction of “reimbursements for election expenses” (besides often not carried out).

In 2002, the Berlusconi government rise the sum to 5 euro and, in 2006, extended for five years the electoral reimbursements. A law that, with the with the premature drop of the Prodi’s government, allowed some extinct Italian parties to receive public money until to 2011 and all the parties in Parliament to cash ‘double’ reimbursements for three years for an amount of half billion of euros.

A Democratic Party that a study published by the newspaper Libero  – on data of Chambers of Commerce and Land Agency that valued  approximately for € 1.2 billion the properties of parties – estimates “about 80% of real estate are still in head of the political forces in which plant roots the Democratic Party. ”
Almost more than 3,000 buildings and more than 500 plots with cadastral income, agricultural and dominical for about € 2.8 million, with a tax year value of about 500 million euro.

“Much is still headed to the Democratic Party of the Left and its territorial structures (base units, regional federations, municipal and territorial of various types), as well as real estate which are still owned by him. Only in the PCI-PDS- Ds-Margherita-PPI-Pd are 831 different tax codes that are holders of buildings.
Among these there are certainly sections of the old Communist Party, which is still the holder of no less than 178 land and 15 buildings land. But seeing numbers of rooms and features of each property, it is unlikely that property as 12 or 14 rooms houses or offices even larger sizes to correspond to the classic sketch of the old territorial sections.
The Democrats control a large part of the housing through new foundations which have been patiently treasurer by Ugo Sposetti. Particularly rich those in Umbria or Livorno. “

What can be the maintenance and operation costs of this enormous wealth is difficult to quantify – probably hundreds of millions of euros every years – as it is also very difficult to imagine the cost of the equipment we use them.
Even more difficult to understand how it was possible for a party that accumulate a so enormous wealth and how it can even manage not falling in fraud of some kind, or worse, in a conflict of interest.

In two words, it is very difficult to clear if we are facing a business or a party or a strange mutant become out from the Cold War.

Now, everyone can understand why the Movement Five Star refuses to support ‘the parties’ and has asked to the Democrats’ Leader, Pierluigi Bersani, a law on financing of political parties, while from the Mario Monti’s party has already arrived an – actually shy – demand for a law on trade unions.

As it is really easy to understand why Italians are against their parties and why there is mistrust of Europe and Germany. It is not an anti-European sentiment. Just concern for those – Merkel, Obama, Hollande? – who would persuade us to remain in the hands of those who seek legitimacy abroad, denigrating their country – that is ours too – to justify their inability or misconduct.
Their, not ours. Not of all Italians.

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European Healthcare to cut?

‘The crisis has affected everyone and the healthcare is no exception. The future sustainability of national healthcare systems may not be guaranteed if we do not identify new funding arrangements for services’. (Mario Monti, Italian Prime Minister -Eurozone)

Never heard an uncorrect information like this.

To realign the NHS to the actual resources of a country, it would be enough to pay doctors on the basis of what the Nation can afford and not in conseguence of their claims.

And, since almost of them will be ‘civil servants’, as in Europe, the question is self-evident.

What Mario Monti is talking about we really would like to know, because, among other things, he has carefully avoided, in this years of bad times and poverty, to impact on incomes and duties of professors, doctors and journalists?

There is no matter.
A rich country (or continent) pays handsomely, one less rich – not being able to cut back on services, drugs and diagnostics – can only act on salaries, especially if doctors’ incomes normally exceed 80,000 euro gross and if a Director of a university hospital often exceeds 10,000 euro gross per month.

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Italy: the Mario Monti’s ‘not adding up’ accounts

About seven months ago, when Mario Monti’s government was on startup, I wrote that the administration of the Italian country will, before this summer, stall.

Eighteen days ago, I noted that “data are showing us that inflation is rising, economies on ‘next retired’ will not so many, nobody knows how much F-35 fighters are on demand (not 131 and even 25) and “it is time to spread requests, even among those more informed, to reshuffle of the Monti’s government or to go to early elections. “

Today, Corriere della Sera headlines “The state collects less: Tax revenue down. The Def (Document of Economics and Finance): 3.477 million euros less in the first 4 months of the year than expected” and adds that ” down the roles to -93 million euros (-4.5%), post corrective to -160 million euros (-2.2%) and the tax revenues of local authorities to -84 million euros (- 1.2%). “

A month earlier (and 66 days ago), I wrote about the incoming inflation, “something expected if dealers do not sell (stagnation) and taxes skyrocket. The alternative would be to see just warnings of failure.

Inflation and recession does not get along very well, indeed, are not sustainable from a financial-production system. Any professor of economics and proponent of a “new world order” knows that this situation should be avoided at all costs.

A situation that is being played while the end-year datas confirm that tax evasion and corruption are developing in a fairly predictable mechanism. In fact, the obsessive monitoring of bank accounts is creating a predictable parallel circuit of activities paid in cash and, of course, unbilled or under-billed.

This is what an unfair Welfare and a greedy and wasteful taxation generate. The books in colonial and Third World history  drip with similar examples.

But Elsa Fornero and Corrado Passera do not know this – it is an evidence – and can not understand that we need a capital income tax and the abandonment ‘to the sharks’ of Unicredit and its German partners.

Now the omelet is done as the Pride and Prejudice of Mario Monti is going to end, jointly with hundreds of  ‘professors’, of which  ministries or commissions are lavishly filled.

And, with them also – we hope – one of the most uncorrect, presumptuous and not competent generations of the history of our Italian Nation, as facts confirm.

It is no coincidence that just yesterday Stefano Fassina – the fifty y.o. expert in public economics of the Democratic Party – has presented “the ace of spades” , fearing the approach of early elections.

Nothing wrong with that, almost everyone – in Italy –  has pretty much flopped and nobody has paid the lien, even, at times, he has been called to ‘finish the job’.
The point is that the infamous ‘next retired’ reform is in force and is only doing damage, the unfair labor reform has too many ‘forgotten’ and too many ‘leaps forward’ and let us NOT hope, the actual entity of F-35 fighters (which are very expensive for costs and maintenance too) to buy is still unknown.

No talking about South Italy, even if  they occupy streets and towns; just three days if there is an obscure and very serious Terror attack in Brindisi against students.

Nothing for women, education and professional training, nothing for security as for snow or earthquakes, road conditions or robberies. No family, no kids, no elderly, no disabled: ‘others’ are the priorities of this government majority.

Just self-righteous sloth and slack inaction about Healthcare, where the righteous cuts have partially interrupted the ‘banquet’, but that – without monitoring and government -, is at the mercy of different regional businesses or lobbies and their instability or at the mercy of  those oligarchies those form the ‘core’ of consensus of  this cleptocratic party system. The sicks? They are … patients. The black hole in the budget deficit? Come on over …

Provinces to be abolished by law, but that may be by law. Or, the electoral reform that is not, since the party system will lose many seats only … while it’s better they save current seats … that are one thousand, three times minus than 300, as proposed.

This is the state of the Italian Nation at present and, now, is no longer a citizen blogger to evidence this: the disaster is signed in the current Document of Economics and Finance (DEF). Their hands signed it.

Congratulations, therefore, to Mario Monti, Elsa Fornero and Corrado Passera for … their ability to hypnotize other governments, party leaders and directors of newspapers.

Unfortunately, their accounts, at the first six-monthly review, do not add up.

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Die wunderbaren und nicht ‘politically correct’ Ergebnisse von Angela Merkel

Deutschland hat die Produktivität für etwa 500.000 Arbeitsplätze gestiegen, während die Eurozone war und ist in rot.

Angela Merkel war in der Lage, diese wunderbare Ergebnisse,  zu erreichen dank einiger unangemessene Verhaltensweisen.

Erstens hat Deutschland seinen hohen Verbrauch halten die Verbraucherpreise niedrig, dank auf Nahrung Märkten außerhalb Europas zugreifen, natürlich zum Nachteil der Italiener, Griechen, Spanier, die Portugiesen gehalten.

In ähnlicher Weise wurde die Tolerierung des Megarave mit absolut lächerlich Sicherheitsstandards und schlechte Kontrollen auf Drogen und Getränke, viele junge Touristen aus dem Ausland innerhalb des Landes übertragen, wobei von Rimini, Malaga, Kanarische Inseln, Ibiza, Mykonos  entfernt mindestens eine Million junge Deutsche wer vor gingen dorthin.

Der Ausfall von zwei der größten polnischen Banken, der Ausfall von mehreren Geschäftsjahren in Österreich, der Flop der Investitionen im der mechanischen Industrie in der Ukraine an die UniCredit und Italien heruntergeladen wurde, anstelle an Goldman Sachs und Bayern, die auch tragen eine große Verantwortung in der griechischen politischen Korruption System.

Die Notwendigkeit, ein gewisses Maß an Inflation in Deutschland zu halten ist führend bei der Preisexplosion der Technik (noch eine gewöhnliche Spiegelreflexkamera), das sind aber “unmöglich” für Länder wie Italien in Rezession oder in Krise wie Spanien. Selbstverständlich ist diese “Inflationsrate” stürzt Eurozone mehr als Krise, aber es scheint, das ist kein Problem für die Deutsche Bank.

Wir brauchen jemanden, bekannt geben nach Deutschland, dass von nun an, die Deutschen die Eurozone Defizit haben zu zahlen  … und dafür Sorge zu Deutschen haben wird vorsichtig sein, um alles richtig zu machen, dass sie bereits zunutze gemacht auch. Wir haben bereits gegeben.

Unter anderem, dass “weinen und genießen” ist ein bekanntes Teutonic Taktik: die Geschichte, es zu beweisen, von Weimar nach der Vereinigung …

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III Millenium Terror, a new point of view

Europe: while the ambush to Alberto Musy, the politician shooted in Turin,  has already disappeared from the headlines, and while Mohammed Merah decides to die “weapons in the hands”, like his ancestors in the War of Algeria, it happens that no one asks – analysts, politicians, soldiers and journalists – on the new course of terrorism, which began in 1995 with the massacre in Oklahoma City when it was demolished, with a “truck bomb”, the federal building Alfred P. Murrah, FBI headquarters, which killed 168 people and wounded more than 800 though.

One attack occurred six years before Twin Towers demolition, which has seen unconventional tactics and “weapons”, which was designed not just to massacre, but to destroy a leadership (FBI), which was performed by two people (Timothy McVeigh and Terry Nichols), politicized but not connected with others, which had the “revenge” as its motive and not “a perfect world”.

Oklahoma City bomb was followed by Twin Towers Attack, implemented by a jihadist cell, linked to Al Qaeda network, founded by  Osama Bin Laden and many unknown others.
Again we can talk about  unconventional  tactics and “weapons”, not a “simpe” massacre, but the destruction of a leadership (Wall Street), played by few people, politicized but with no contacts or connections in place, which had revenge as motive and not a “perfect world”.

In the confusion and collective shock after September 11 attacks, George Walker Bush and his advisers found useful to say some half-truths and a couple of big lies just to hide a “complex but simple” reality, as Syriana showed in cinemas.

So the theorem of “asymmetric warfare” and “non-belligerent combatants” was created, in which the “rogue states” were financing of “terrorist cells”, motivated by a “corrupt faith” or hunger for money. In fact, the “rogue states” were not really (except perhaps Afghanistan of Mullah Omar), the “asymmetric warfare” does not exist, it is just the amount of missiles and bombers supplied to the USAAF, fighters noncombatant “were often of rebels “, the “terrorist cells” were motivated by revenge and not simply and solely by the” corrupt the faith. “

So facts happened and so happened “War on Terror” that still affects half the world’s armed forces against an invisible and largely non-existent enemy, as decadal statistics evidenced about conspiracies and attacks carried out or foiled.

And, meanwhile, measures were taken not against suicide bombing of the isolated persons and not useful if a network is acting (like Al Qaeda but also like Narcos), but both serve to prevent domestic terrorism, the spontaneous terrorism, done by “crazy” citizens.

And, in fact, although it has magnified control on guns, on basic chemicals, on money transactions and on certain ethnic areas and people.

Just in the last years, in Europe, we can report burned alive people in a bank by the Black Blocks in Athens, the massacre of Utoya implemented by Anders Brevik, the slaughter of Toulouse, carried out by Mohammed Merah, the resumption of “endemic” terrorism in Italy, including letter bombs, sabotages and shootings.

All attacks were carried out with unconventional “tactics and weapons”, to eliminate a leadership, done by individuals, politicized but motived by “revenge”.

So, anyone thinking that “the end of ideology” coincides with a period of “peace”, as he is mistaken.

By analyzing the many acts of “terror” that occurred in history, we rarely find well-connected individuals or part of an organizatio. An aspect that takes shape only in the twentieth century with the Marxist-Leninist, as Red Brigades or Red Fraction Army, or paramilitary nationalist organizations, like the Irish Army, the Basque ETA, the Israeli Stern Gang, the Palestinian Hamas.

Terrorist acts are actions carried out by few individuals or by organizations or networks with strong sectarian overtones – a bit as the Congregation of Hashassin, thousand years ago – which are in addition to the attacks carried out by or on behalf of one of many narco cartels operating in the world.

So, coming to Italy (weak link in the chain of Eurozona), this issue arises in a much more complex than they might want to think about the “talking crickets”.

In a similar “landscape”, the mayor risk is represented by over 50 y.o. people, who prevedibly should become unemployed or in poverty after Fornero’s reforms, and that, having learned what is “necessary to do” during the Seventies, could lead very blatant and dramatic individual actions, well beyond the climbing a crane or give themselves on fire in the street as it did.
In the alternative, their children, as the “revenge” motive seems to be universal … not to mention a ex-Nazi skinheads or extreme left activists 40 y.o. aged, exacerbated by 20 years of social and employing insecurity.

The attempt to Alberto Musy seems to belong to this category of events, regardless of any politicization of the aggressor.

Immediately after, the risk that Italy runs comes by two “protagonists”, not just “non-belligerent combatants” or “misfits involved in terrorism”: the Mafia and the foreign states with which Italy has not alliances, interested in destabilizing the Eurozone and the Bildberger financial system. But, wanting to be correct, this should be called “asymmetric warfare” and not simply “terrorism”.

Returning to Italian potential chaos, the risk of isolated acts is not irrelevant, especially if the media will continue to ignore a widespreading discontent about an authoritarian  government of technicians coming by financial business sectors.

In fact, what they are not taking into account – both Mario Monti and current European political class – is that, after “the end of ideologies”, with parties transformed into piles, not only the anti-politics remains, so “usefully” for who, like the financial powers, need to “divide and conquer” to lead their games.
After “the end of ideologies” the world re-comes “pre-political”, as the 1848’s cannibal Communards in Paris, the armed gangs such as Bonnot or Pancho Villa, isolated acts such as that done by Mr. Apple in Odessa, regicides such as Umberto I of Savoy by Gaetano Bresci, a southern man, forty years after annexation of the Two Sicilies.

Thirst for “revenge”, daughter of the exasperation and granddaughter of exclusion, is the “goddess” who guides the hand of a “terrorist”, not the “ideologies”.

The driver is alerted, but … given that these things are not taught in a private enterpirses … we have to clear if our “technical professors bankers” – in Italy as everywhere – will be able to “read the landscape”.

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C’è consenso e consenso

In tutte le televisioni, a qualunque ora, troviamo qualcuno che ci spiega che il “governo Monti ha un largo consenso”.

In effetti è vero, ma dovremmo, poi, chiedere se il consenso che Monti e Passera riscuotono è degli elettori italiani o di quei politici, seduti in Parlamento, di cui gli italiani, da anni, vorrebbero il ricambio.

Potremmo anche chiederci perchè, con tutti i talk show che ci sono, i nostri politici “consensienti” non vadano in trasmissione a spiegarci questo e quell’altro … ma sarebbe troppo.

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L’ottimismo viene dal consenso

L’Italia è ufficialmente in recessione, i dati di ottobre-dicembre 2011 sono carta stampata, ma questo è il passato, la scommessa è il futuro.

Ce lo racconta Corrado Passera, ministro dello sviluppo del governo Monti.

I dati «sono una conferma di quanto ampiamente previsto e del fatto che proprio da lì dovevamo partire, come abbiamo fatto, con riforme e interventi strutturali».

La recessione, annunciata da questo blog e non solo, ma snobbata dai nostri “professori”, secondo Passera «ci spinge ad andare avanti con grande determinazione: un’iniziativa al mese per rimettere il Paese in condizione di reagire».
«Un ottimismo che viene dal consenso del Parlamento e dell’opinione pubblica, questa è la grande spinta».

Ah, beh, … allora stiamo inguaiati, se la “grande spinta” arriva dal consenso dell’opinione pubblica.

Ma non solo …

«Messi i conti in sicurezza», va attuato «un’insieme di iniziative per la crescita. Infrastrutture, competitività e internazionalizzazione delle imprese, innovazione, costo e disponibilità del credito, costi dell’energia, semplificazione».
E per le opere già previste, il ministro annuncia 60 miliardi entro quest’anno: «Una messa in moto oltre le aspettative, un passaggio fondamentale per la competitività del Paese».

Male, peggio, malissimo, cosa dire?

Sostenere con 60 miliardi le opere già previste, senza entrare nel merito, significa, molto probabilmente, incrementare la cementificazione senza provvedere agli interventi urgentissimi per contrastare il dissesto idrogeologico, più volte richiesti da Giorgio Napolitano, invano, alla legislatura di Berlusconi.
Inoltre, senza intervenire sulle norme inerenti i subappalti, si rischia di consegnare all’Italia un ulteriore ammasso di sprechi, collusioni, infiltrazioni mafiose, clientela politica.

Quanto alla crescita ed all’ottimismo, le domande sono tante o tantissime.

• Quali nuove infrastrutture, se l’Italia muore di scarsa o nulla manutenzione dell’ordinario?
  Internazionalizzazione delle imprese significa molte cose, incluso che arrivino i “russi” a comprarsi tutto o, peggio, che la Padania possa incrementare la spoliazione produttiva del paese, delocalizzando ancor più la produzione?
  Costo e disponibilità del credito è cosa corretta in un paese che, causa declassamento, paga caro il denaro e che ha bisogno di “inflazione” per superare la recessione? O, guardando alla demografia ed agli anziani che abbiamo, in un paese che non dovrebbe affatto invoglaire i giovani continuino ad indebitarsi “a vita” per un mutuo trentennale?
  Per non parlare dei costi dell’energia, che possono aprire la strada a maggiori privatizazioni, e della semplificazione, che finora ha comportato solo un aumento dei contenziosi, delle collusioni e delle corruttele, visto che tra farraggini, tributi e territorialità l’iter è solo peggiorato.

Domande non eccessive se ricordiamo che Corrado Passera si è finora distinto per la sua abilità nel far ricadere  i costi aziendali sullo Stato (Alitalia, Caboto-FinMek, Nextra-Parmalat …) e per la sua capacità di tagliare posti di lavoro a favore delle concentrazioni di capitale (Comit, Intesa San Paolo, Olivetti, Telecom …).

Un manager che della politica e della pubblica amministrazione conosce solo un aspetto riflesso, come Tremonti era esperto sono nella fiscalità e nella gestione di un bilancio.

Un uomo che muove i primi passi in politica e già gode dell’appoggio di Roberto Formigoni, governatore della Lombardia ininterrottamente dal 1995, e di Pier Ferdinando Casini, genero di Francesco Gaetano Caltagirone, undicesimo italiano più ricco al mondo, a capo di uno dei più importanti gruppi industriali italiani.

Un ministro che annuncia “un’iniziativa al mese per rimettere il Paese in condizione di reagire”, mentre la riforma delle pensioni non trova una forma regolativa, gli F-35 si son ridotti di un terzo, le liberalizzazioni raccolgono migliaia di emendamenti, la riforma del lavoro è deve essere recepita dai lavoratori e non semplicisticamente i sindacati con cui discute il governo.

Mala tempora currunt.

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Rating A3 per il governo Monti

Ieri, l’Ambasciata Italiana a Washington pubblicava sul proprio sito che “l’incontro con l’elite finanziaria, almeno stando a quanto riferisce lo stesso Monti, è più che positivo“.

Infatti, il Primo Ministro italiano aveva dichiarato: “Penso di aver convinto gli investitori, non lo dicono seduta stante, ma … c’é molto interesse per l’Italia e per il mercato italiano … ma già oggi … per il ruolo che si aspettano che l’Italia giochi.
A giudicare dall’andamento del mercato qualcuno deve aver già investito e penso che l’opinione dei mercati, così come gli altri governi, si stanno formando della serietà con cui l’Italia sta affrontando i suoi problemi, non possa che far aumentare l’atteggiamento positivo” verso le imprese italiane e i suoi titoli di Stato.“

Il comunicato dell’Ambasciata italiana a Washington precisava che il governo Monti non è preoccupato per “il declassamento di 34 banche italiane da parte dell’agenzia di rating Standard & Poor’s e si concentra sulle aspettative che si hanno nei confronti del suo esecutivo: i mercati ci chiedono “di continuare quello che abbiamo cominciato” e che viene molto apprezzato“.

Sarà un caso, ma, oggi, l’agenzia Moody’s ha ribassato ulteriormente il rating dell’Italia, da A2 ad A3, come per la Spagna, mentre il Portogallo è “crollato” al livello Ba3.
Risultato atteso dopo il BBB+ di Standard & Poor’s oppure poteva e, soprattutto, doveva andare meglio?

Il premer aveva anche minimizzato, intervistato dall’emittente finanziaria Cnbc, l’ipotesi di uscita dell’Italia dall’euro, anche nel caso in cui la Grecia fallisca, dato che “non ci sarebbe un riflesso automatico sull’Italia“ ed ha assicurato che, quando “i partiti torneranno a costituire un governo da soli”, non si tornerà indietro dalle riforme intraprese dal governo tecnico.

La ragione perchè di queste riforme se ne è parlato molto ma senza che fossero introdotte era il costo politico. Ma il costo politico per noi non è questione rilevante, e quando i partiti torneranno a formare un governo da soli, non torneranno indietro dalle riforme, perchè il costo è iniziarle, ma una volta che sono lì“.

Sarà un caso, ma, sulle “modeste” liberalizzazioni del governo Monti – che non toccano banche, assicurazioni, sindacati, giornali e società cooperative – gli emendamenti presentati “dai partiti” sono circa 2.300. Figuriamoci cosa accadrà nell’arco di un triennio, a fronte di misure e norme che non hanno alcun sostegno da parte di tanti, tantissimi elettori.

Non è un caso che, da circa due mesi, questo blog sostenga che la manovra impostata dai “professori” potrebbe peggiorare le cose.
L’azione dell’attuale governo, infatti, lascia ampi spazi all’antipolitica ed alle mafie, che traggono linfa vitale dalla disoccupazione e dal rischio aziendale, non interviene sulla celerità, sull’economicità e sull’efficienza della governance pubblica, sistema giudiziario incluso, e, soprattutto, impedisce, con gli alti tassi dati dai titoli di Stato pur di mantenere un’elevata spesa pubblica, l’investimento di grandi capitali per il rilancio della produttività. Il tutto mentre gli investitori extra-europei sono alla finestra, dato che l’Euro, dopodomani mattina, potrebbe valere un terzo o non esistere proprio più.

Intanto, in Grecia va sempre peggio, grande è l’incognita del Portogallo e gli investimenti, per ora languono. D’altra parte, quale corporation o quale banca d’affari investirebbe in un paese dove un recupero crediti dura dieci anni e lo stesso accade per edificare l’impianto industriale?

Mario Monti sta rendendo più efficiente, celere, efficace, economica, la “macchina pubblica” italiana? No, almeno non ancora.

E dunque, a quanto i fatti dimostrano, “non siamo stati apprezzati”, neanche un tot, se in due mesi di governo Monti l’Italia ha perso due punti di rating.

Leggi anche Un programma per l’Italia, tutte le leggi che avremmo dovuto fare e non abbiamo ancora fatto.

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